Increasing the Accuracy of Licensure Decisions - On the benefits of more, shorter exams

This session discusses a shift in thinking, moving away from focusing on the accuracy of exam decisions to a focus on the accuracy of licensure decisions. Exam decisions look at the outcomes of single exams, whereas licensure decisions consider the entire exam process (including retake policies). This presentation will show, using simple probability theory, how this change in focus leads to startling conclusions: Multiple exams of modest length and reliability can result in more accurate licensure decisions.

Originally presented: July 2021